Final Midterm Polls and Ratings: Where the Key Races Stand

Overhead view of a US map shaded red, blue and gray beside printed poll charts and a calculator on a desk

With Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 3, the final round of polls and race ratings points the same direction as the last several weeks: Democrats are favored to win the House, and they hold a narrower edge for the Senate. Democrats lead the final public polls in most Senate battlegrounds, but many of those leads … Read more

Election Night Guide, Part 1: Early Clues From 6 to 8 p.m. (EST)

Election Office Ballot Processing Room

The first polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern time on Tuesday, Nov. 3, in most of Indiana and Kentucky. By 7:30 p.m., voting will be mostly or entirely finished in eight states, including Florida, Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina and Ohio, which together hold several Senate races and more than a dozen House seats that forecasters … Read more

Election Night Guide, Part 3: After 10 p.m. and Beyond

Election Night Newsroom Analysis Desk

By 10 p.m. Eastern time most of the country has stopped voting, but the West and Alaska are just starting to report, and several of the closest races may not be decided for days. Polls close at 10 p.m. ET in Nevada, Montana and Utah, at 11 p.m. in California, Oregon and Washington, and at … Read more

Montana Senate 2026: Alme vs. Bodnar vs. Bankhead Race

Montana 2026 Senate Banner

This briefing reflects reporting and polling available as of October 21, 2026. Candidates, endorsements and polling can change before Election Day on November 3, 2026. Why This Race Matters Montana has an open Senate seat, and the main challenger is an independent rather than a Democrat. Republican Kurt Alme leads in most public polling, but … Read more

South Carolina Senate 2026: Graham vs. Andrews Briefing

Map of South Carolina filled with the state flag beside the text South Carolina, U.S. Senate, 2026

This briefing reflects reporting and polling available as of October 21, 2026. Candidates, endorsements and polling can change before Election Day on November 3, 2026. Why This Race Matters A Senate seat in one of the country’s most reliably Republican states has become competitive in the final weeks of the campaign. South Carolina has not … Read more

Montana’s 1st District 2026: Aaron Flint vs. Sam Forstag

Gray map of Montana with its 1st District filled with the state flag beside the text Montana 1st District, U.S. House, 2026

This briefing reflects reporting and polling available as of October 21, 2026. Candidates, endorsements and polling can change before Election Day on November 3, 2026. Why This Race Matters Western Montana has produced the state’s closest federal race in years. Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke is not running again, which leaves an open seat that both … Read more

Virginia 1st District 2026: Wittman vs. Taylor Briefing

Gray Virginia map with its 1st District filled with the state flag beside the text Virginia 1st District, U.S. House 2026

–> This briefing reflects reporting and polling available as of October 21, 2026. Candidates, endorsements and polling can change before Election Day on November 3, 2026. Why This Race Matters A Republican who won his last race by 13 points is now defending a seat in a competitive contest. Rep. Rob Wittman has represented Virginia’s … Read more

Midterm Polls: Kansas Senate Toss-Up, 11 House Races Shift

Electoral Map Momentum Analysis

Race ratings in several Republican-held contests have moved toward Democrats since October 6, with the biggest changes in the Midwest and Mountain West. Kansas’s Senate race is now a Toss Up, Alaska’s governor’s race leans Democratic, and Montana’s open House seat is a Toss Up. On October 16, Cook Political Report moved 11 races toward … Read more

Debate Dispatches, Oct. 7: PA, Oregon, Iowa and Arizona

Cozy Debate Night at Home

Four more midterm debates were held on the night of Oct. 7: the governor’s races in Pennsylvania and Oregon, Iowa’s Senate race and Arizona’s 1st Congressional District. Data centers came up in three of them, and the Trump administration’s tariffs, the Iran war and federal health care changes ran through most. This Debate Dispatch summarizes … Read more

Debate Dispatches, Oct. 6: Maine, Michigan, Georgia, Iowa

Cozy Debate Night at Home

Candidates in four midterm races debated on the night of Oct. 6: Susan Collins and Troy Jackson in Maine’s Senate race, and the governor’s candidates in Michigan, Georgia and Iowa. Three subjects recurred: candidates’ ties to President Trump, data centers, and who is to blame for high prices. This first Debate Dispatches summarizes the main … Read more

Kansas Senate Election Brief 2026: Marshall vs. Hamilton

Kansas U.S. Senate 2026 Graphic

This briefing reflects reporting and polling available as of October 7, 2026. Candidates, endorsements and polling can change before Election Day on November 3, 2026. Why This Race Matters Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1932, the Kansas Reflector reports, yet Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton are … Read more

How Political Ad Rules Work, and Where Government Ads Fit

Media, Money, and Capitol Influence

Reading Who pays for a political ad, and where it appears, decides which rules apply. A candidate’s campaign, a political action committee (PAC), a party and a government agency each follow a different legal track, and television, print and online platforms add more differences. Those tracks are now colliding over taxpayer-funded ads featuring President Donald … Read more

css.php